INDICATOR REGISTRY
Do these indicators actually work?
69 Bitcoin indicators, each tested walk-forward by year 2020→2026. Status is out-of-sample: confirmed, unstable, weak or none.
| Indicator | Now | Percentile | Swing A | Cycle C | History |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Active addresses 30don-chainAnoneCnone | -0.04 | 40% | none | none | |
| Active addresses z-score 90don-chainAnoneCunstable | 0.37 | 62% | none | unstable | |
| ADX 14trendAnoneCweak | 45.22 | 90% | none | weak | |
| ATR %trendAnoneCweak | 3.08 | 19% | none | weak | |
| Bollinger positiontrendAunstableCunstable | 0.77 | 71% | unstable | unstable | |
| Bollinger widthtrendAnoneCnone | 32.16 | 82% | none | none | |
| BTC dominancemarketAnoneCnone | 59.58 | 75% | none | none | |
| Dominance 30d changemarketAnoneCnone | 1.03 | 64% | none | none | |
| Dominance 90d changemarketAnoneCnone | 1.66 | 63% | none | none | |
| BTC−ETH MVRV gapon-chainAnoneCnone | 0.39 | 36% | none | none | |
| Total cap from ATHmarketAnoneCnone | -39.07 | 58% | none | none | |
| Days above MA200trendAunstableCnone | 16.00 | 56% | unstable | none | |
| Days since ATHstructureAnoneCweak | 332.00 | 62% | none | weak | |
| Fed funds 90dmacroAnoneCnone | 0.01 | 59% | none | none | |
| Distance to ATHstructureAnoneCnone | -35.60 | 62% | none | none | |
| Distance to 1y lowstructureAnoneCnone | 40.61 | 27% | none | none | |
| Distance to MA200trendAnoneCnone | 16.76 | 67% | none | none | |
| Distance to MA50trendAnoneCnone | 18.65 | 86% | none | none | |
| Distance to nearest levelstructureAnoneCweak | 0.97 | 52% | none | weak | |
| DVOLderivativesAnoneCnone | 39.78 | 14% | none | none | |
| DVOL 7d changederivativesAnoneCnone | -1.74 | 40% | none | none | |
| DVOL z-score 180dderivativesAnoneCnone | -0.34 | 57% | none | none | |
| DXY 30dmacroAnoneCunstable | — | — | none | unstable | |
| DXY 90dmacroAconfirmedCconfirmed | — | — | confirmed | confirmed | |
| ETH MVRVon-chainAnoneCnone | 1.07 | 41% | none | none | |
| ETH MVRV 30d changeon-chainAnoneCnone | 16.63 | 83% | none | none | |
| Exchange supply 30don-chainAnoneCunstable | 1.39 | 74% | none | unstable | |
| Exchange supply 90don-chainAunstableCunstable | 2.05 | 60% | unstable | unstable | |
| Fees 30don-chainAnoneCconfirmed | -0.08 | 47% | none | confirmed | |
| Fear & GreedsentimentAunstableCweak | 65.00 | 76% | unstable | weak | |
| Fear & Greed 30d changesentimentAnoneCnone | 40.00 | 98% | none | none | |
| Fear & Greed 7d changesentimentAnoneCnone | -6.00 | 25% | none | none | |
| Extreme greed streaksentimentAunstableCunstable | 0.00 | 91% | unstable | unstable | |
| Extreme fear streaksentimentAnoneCnone | 0.00 | 78% | none | none | |
| Funding 7dderivativesAnoneCweak | 0.00 | 59% | none | weak | |
| Funding 8hderivativesAnoneCnone | 0.00 | 49% | none | none | |
| Negative funding streakderivativesAnoneCnone | 0.00 | 87% | none | none | |
| Funding z-score 90dderivativesAnoneCnone | 0.75 | 77% | none | none | |
| Hashrate 30don-chainAnoneCnone | -3.16 | 29% | none | none | |
| M2 90dmacroAnoneCnone | 0.89 | 37% | none | none | |
| MACD histogram / ATRtrendAnoneCnone | 0.01 | 49% | none | none | |
| MVRVon-chainAnoneCnone | 1.45 | 35% | none | none | |
| MVRV 30d changeon-chainAnoneCweak | 19.55 | 85% | none | weak | |
| MVRV z-score 365don-chainAnoneCnone | -0.17 | 46% | none | none | |
| Nearest level touchesstructureAnoneCconfirmed | 3.00 | 37% | none | confirmed | |
| Exchange netflow 30don-chainAnoneCunstable | -0.68 | 17% | none | unstable | |
| Exchange netflow 7don-chainAweakCunstable | 0.29 | 58% | weak | unstable | |
| Exchange netflow z-scoreon-chainAnoneCnone | 1.05 | 85% | none | none | |
| OBV slope 30dvolumeAweakCunstable | 0.27 | 91% | weak | unstable | |
| Open interest 30dderivativesAnoneCnone | -4.23 | 29% | none | none | |
| Open interest 7dderivativesAnoneCnone | 14.82 | 92% | none | none | |
| OI / market capderivativesAnoneCnone | 0.29 | 67% | none | none | |
| 90-day range positionstructureAunstableCunstable | 0.96 | 95% | unstable | unstable | |
| ROC 30dtrendAnoneCweak | 26.77 | 85% | none | weak | |
| ROC 7dtrendAnoneCweak | 1.27 | 55% | none | weak | |
| ROC 90dtrendAnoneCnone | 33.11 | 74% | none | none | |
| RSI 14trendAnoneCunstable | 72.99 | 92% | none | unstable | |
| S&P 500 30dmacroAnoneCweak | -0.90 | 25% | none | weak | |
| S&P 500 90dmacroAunstableCunstable | 3.83 | 45% | unstable | unstable | |
| Stablecoin supply 30dmarketAnoneCnone | 1.21 | 37% | none | none | |
| Supertrend directiontrendAnoneCweak | 1.00 | 100% | none | weak | |
| Transactions 30don-chainAweakCnone | -0.07 | 35% | weak | none | |
| VIXmacroAnoneCnone | 15.20 | 31% | none | none | |
| VIX 7d changemacroAnoneCunstable | 0.69 | 68% | none | unstable | |
| Volume streakvolumeAnoneCnone | 4.00 | 85% | none | none | |
| Volume vs 30d medianvolumeAnoneCnone | 1.77 | 88% | none | none | |
| Fed balance sheet 90dmacroAnoneCnone | 0.38 | 62% | none | none | |
| US 10Y yieldmacroAnoneCnone | 4.79 | 100% | none | none | |
| 10Y yield 30d changemacroAnoneCweak | 0.16 | 76% | none | weak |