INDICATOR REGISTRY
Do these indicators actually work?
69 Bitcoin indicators, each tested walk-forward by year 2020→2026. Status is out-of-sample: confirmed, unstable, weak or none.
| Indicator | Now | Percentile | Swing A | Cycle C | History |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Active addresses 30don-chainAnoneCnone | -0.05 | 38% | none | none | |
| Active addresses z-score 90don-chainAnoneCunstable | -0.58 | 29% | none | unstable | |
| ADX 14trendAnoneCweak | 22.02 | 31% | none | weak | |
| ATR %trendAnoneCweak | 2.57 | 7% | none | weak | |
| Bollinger positiontrendAunstableCunstable | 0.01 | 6% | unstable | unstable | |
| Bollinger widthtrendAnoneCnone | 9.66 | 20% | none | none | |
| BTC dominancemarketAnoneCnone | 60.02 | 76% | none | none | |
| Dominance 30d changemarketAnoneCnone | 0.96 | 63% | none | none | |
| Dominance 90d changemarketAnoneCnone | 1.47 | 62% | none | none | |
| BTC−ETH MVRV gapon-chainAnoneCnone | 0.42 | 39% | none | none | |
| Total cap from ATHmarketAnoneCnone | -38.71 | 58% | none | none | |
| Days above MA200trendAunstableCnone | 76.00 | 71% | unstable | none | |
| Days since ATHstructureAnoneCweak | 392.00 | 66% | none | weak | |
| Fed funds 90dmacroAnoneCnone | 0.25 | 79% | none | none | |
| Distance to ATHstructureAnoneCnone | -39.13 | 57% | none | none | |
| Distance to 1y lowstructureAnoneCnone | 32.90 | 24% | none | none | |
| Distance to MA200trendAnoneCnone | 4.93 | 51% | none | none | |
| Distance to MA50trendAnoneCnone | -6.30 | 25% | none | none | |
| Distance to nearest levelstructureAnoneCweak | 0.75 | 46% | none | weak | |
| DVOLderivativesAnoneCnone | 39.30 | 14% | none | none | |
| DVOL 7d changederivativesAnoneCnone | 0.74 | 64% | none | none | |
| DVOL z-score 180dderivativesAnoneCnone | 0.24 | 73% | none | none | |
| DXY 30dmacroAnoneCunstable | 0.23 | 55% | none | unstable | |
| DXY 90dmacroAconfirmedCconfirmed | 1.73 | 74% | confirmed | confirmed | |
| ETH MVRVon-chainAnoneCnone | 1.03 | 35% | none | none | |
| ETH MVRV 30d changeon-chainAnoneCnone | -10.26 | 25% | none | none | |
| Exchange supply 30don-chainAnoneCunstable | -0.81 | 25% | none | unstable | |
| Exchange supply 90don-chainAunstableCunstable | -0.65 | 34% | unstable | unstable | |
| Fees 30don-chainAnoneCconfirmed | -0.40 | 27% | none | confirmed | |
| Fear & GreedsentimentAunstableCweak | 37.00 | 40% | unstable | weak | |
| Fear & Greed 30d changesentimentAnoneCnone | -30.00 | 8% | none | none | |
| Fear & Greed 7d changesentimentAnoneCnone | -13.00 | 13% | none | none | |
| Extreme greed streaksentimentAunstableCunstable | 0.00 | 91% | unstable | unstable | |
| Extreme fear streaksentimentAnoneCnone | 0.00 | 79% | none | none | |
| Funding 7dderivativesAnoneCweak | 0.00 | 60% | none | weak | |
| Funding 8hderivativesAnoneCnone | 0.00 | 85% | none | none | |
| Negative funding streakderivativesAnoneCnone | 0.00 | 87% | none | none | |
| Funding z-score 90dderivativesAnoneCnone | 1.39 | 90% | none | none | |
| Hashrate 30don-chainAnoneCnone | 23.46 | 87% | none | none | |
| M2 90dmacroAnoneCnone | 0.84 | 35% | none | none | |
| MACD histogram / ATRtrendAnoneCnone | -0.24 | 11% | none | none | |
| MVRVon-chainAnoneCnone | 1.45 | 34% | none | none | |
| MVRV 30d changeon-chainAnoneCweak | -8.39 | 30% | none | weak | |
| MVRV z-score 365don-chainAnoneCnone | 0.19 | 57% | none | none | |
| Nearest level touchesstructureAnoneCconfirmed | 7.00 | 97% | none | confirmed | |
| Exchange netflow 30don-chainAnoneCunstable | -1.29 | 7% | none | unstable | |
| Exchange netflow 7don-chainAweakCunstable | -4.87 | 1% | weak | unstable | |
| Exchange netflow z-scoreon-chainAnoneCnone | -3.10 | 0% | none | none | |
| OBV slope 30dvolumeAweakCunstable | -0.27 | 8% | weak | unstable | |
| Open interest 30dderivativesAnoneCnone | 21.21 | 86% | none | none | |
| Open interest 7dderivativesAnoneCnone | 11.06 | 87% | none | none | |
| OI / market capderivativesAnoneCnone | 0.33 | 92% | none | none | |
| 90-day range positionstructureAunstableCunstable | 0.57 | 52% | unstable | unstable | |
| ROC 30dtrendAnoneCweak | -9.37 | 24% | none | weak | |
| ROC 7dtrendAnoneCweak | -4.16 | 23% | none | weak | |
| ROC 90dtrendAnoneCnone | 19.83 | 64% | none | none | |
| RSI 14trendAnoneCunstable | 34.84 | 8% | none | unstable | |
| S&P 500 30dmacroAnoneCweak | -1.85 | 20% | none | weak | |
| S&P 500 90dmacroAunstableCunstable | -2.02 | 20% | unstable | unstable | |
| Stablecoin supply 30dmarketAnoneCnone | -3.04 | 5% | none | none | |
| Supertrend directiontrendAnoneCweak | -1.00 | 50% | none | weak | |
| Transactions 30don-chainAweakCnone | — | — | weak | none | |
| VIXmacroAnoneCnone | 19.42 | 63% | none | none | |
| VIX 7d changemacroAnoneCunstable | 1.03 | 72% | none | unstable | |
| Volume streakvolumeAnoneCnone | -3.00 | 25% | none | none | |
| Volume vs 30d medianvolumeAnoneCnone | 0.92 | 41% | none | none | |
| Fed balance sheet 90dmacroAnoneCnone | 0.11 | 60% | none | none | |
| US 10Y yieldmacroAnoneCnone | 4.94 | 98% | none | none | |
| 10Y yield 30d changemacroAnoneCweak | -0.34 | 7% | none | weak |